Do poor countries waste to remain poor? This question was asked ten years ago by former World Bank economist William Astrell, who is a well-versed sub-Saharan Africaian.
International Monetary Fund (IMF) In an international environment in which many shocks are presented: financial, fiscal, budgetary. About 77% of the world's population lives in extreme poverty in Nigeria, 5% in the Democratic Republic of Congo. There are a large number of working poor on the continent. More and more Africans believe that the development that is good for their countries has its roots in another culture, another capitalism and other institutions than in the West. Today, Africa has won the debate on the West and is looking towards Asia to resolve its poverty.
_ Four principles
The operation of economic and social organization of many Asian countries is based on four principles.
The goals of the nation take precedence over personal aspirations.An individual is identified in the context of his social functions in society.We expect the sacrifice of every person for the good of all.The culture of the country has its own source of social laws and conventions.
To achieve strong development, these principles were applied to the developmental patterns taught through textbooks. This is the strategy of wild goose flight of Japanese economist Akamatsu, according to which there can be no widespread development without increasing production. A country starts with the import of raw materials and manufactured goods from industrialized countries.
Thereafter, it manufactures its own consumer goods and protects its national territories from external competition by importing capital goods. In the next stage, the bourgeoisie starts producing goods and competes with the same foreign goods. Eventually, it becomes an exporter of capital goods and consumer goods. In many Asian countries, this Confucian capitalism has led to increased employment, increased workers' skills, improved population health, improved access to credit, drinking water and energy infrastructure. Comprehensive development has improved.
It has recently included a model of technological innovation specific to poor countries, and Indian economists have supported its proportional innovation: the acquisition of modern goods and services tailored to local needs. These innovations are cheap and above all require simplicity. The Asian development model must overcome many obstacles to move to Africa. The first is a demographic change that many countries have not yet completed. Without it, high rates of population growth cannot be converted into demographic dividends. The second challenge is even bigger. It has many aspects: political, economic and geopolitical. Many countries supply raw materials,
Break up of international trade imposed on the subcontinent in 1848
The lure of the wild goose flight strategy to break international trade imposed on the subcontinent since the Berlin Agreement in 1848 suggests a peaceful way during which European powers had drawn borders? The third hurdle to overcome is a dilemma. You do not run two rabbits at the same time. Pervasive development should reduce poverty as its first goal. The fight against inequality will come in second.
4 - Economy / Reconciliation: Unfortunately, 413 million people in Black Africa live on less than 91.9 per day.
Worldwide, extreme poverty - according to the World Bank, per capita income is declining at a rate of 9.9 per day, but it continues to increase in sub-Saharan Africa, where it affects 41.1% of the population. A complete tragedy.
The New World Bank report, published this Wednesday, September 19, "Extreme Poverty in the World" is strongly discouraging for all who are sleep deprived, because what we learn is a terrible, disturbing and nightmare, without Of amazing surprises. While on all continents, from Asia to Latin America, the poorest, whose local currency has a maximum of 9.6 per day, is declining, it is called Sahara. Africa. Well, the World Bank, the IMF's financial cousin in 1944 and a contributor to multinational development assistance, is happy to say that "since 1990, the world's population has lived below the poverty line and has grown from 35.9% to 10%." Has occurred. "
At the time of the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1990 (since 1989), there were 5.3 billion people in the world, marking the beginning of globalization. According to previous definitions, 1.9 billion people were considered "extremely poor". In 2015, the year of the World Bank's quarterly survey, which should be noted in passing, will require a long timeframe in the case of countries with weak statistical systems with a global population of 7.4 billion. And the number of the very poor has increased to 734 million.
Development is attributed to economic globalization
The success is amazing, especially in East Asia, China and India. This development is often attributed to economic globalization. "Over the past 25 years, more than one billion people have been driven out of extreme poverty, and the current rate of poverty in the world has never decreased," said World Bank President Jim Yong Kim. group
Unfortunately, Africa is the exact opposite of this long-term trend, and in recent years the war in Syria and Yemen in the Middle East. In 2002, Sub-Saharan Africa accounted for a quarter of the world's poorest people, yet today it is more than half (413 out of 736 million). Africa's extreme poverty rate (.11.1%) is as fast as any other continent, as shown in the accompanying table. Twenty-six of the 27 countries with the highest rates on the planet are now located in Africa.
If India, with a large population of 1.3 billion people, still has the highest number of poor (170 million or 13%), a partial survey conducted this year shows that Nigeria is a World Bank note (190 million inhabitants) "By 2018, the country will be a completely poorer country. However, the situation is not improving to the contrary. However, by 2030, the World Bank and the United Nations have committed themselves, but set a goal to" eradicate extreme poverty " Has been done, but this desire cannot be attained with a strong stimulus, and will have to be satisfied by the rate. Estimation is possible.
World Bank economists estimate
According to World Bank economists, World Bank economists predict that "in sub-Saharan Africa, even under the most optimistic assumptions, the poverty rate will remain in double digits (above 10%) by 2030".
Indeed, the reasons for this African remission can be properly identified. This is the first case of its kind in the absence of birth control, but it is appalling, with the shocking controversy that "under-five mortality rates have been relatively weak." In other words, there has been no progress since the improvement of health and social and economic conditions.
“Poor and large families have higher fertility rates. On average 7.7 children under the age of 14, 3.5 children, grew up in poverty, their education and food have been affected. In this basic vicious cycle, ethnic conflicts, environmental disasters, corruption of governments and elites have been declared detrimental to economic development.
The assessment of the World Bank in 2018 is nothing new. The term was coined in 1962, at the time of de-calcination, in a book to name one of the pioneers of French ecology, agronomist Rene W. Dumont, and it was a major achievement. For the time being: "Black Africa had a bad start." He condemned corruption, patronage, independent development of independent relations with Europe, especially the option of economic dependence on agricultural development.
However, since Renee Dumont's remarkable observation, what would happen if "Black Africa" was not replaced by "Sub-Saharan Africa"? As if black was a damned color… we should pay tribute to Rina Dumont, her contender, as well as Black Africa, who should not be ashamed of her name, or the darling of Amy Cassier and Lopez Cedar Singer. other.
5 - Economic Management: There are now 34 poor countries on the planet compared to 66 (World Bank) in 2003.
According to the world's June 4 report, there are currently 34 poor countries on the planet, whose annual income is equal to or less than 995 compared to the 2003 66 countries. Of the 34 countries classified as "low income", 26 are in Sub-Saharan Africa, including Mali, Niger, Eritrea, Madagascar and the Democratic Republic of Congo.
Since 2003, 32 countries have joined the group of so-called "middle-income" economies, which are particularly motivated by rapid economic growth. Countries exporting hydrocarbons or metals have thus benefited from the super cycle of raw materials. Between 2001 and 2011, energy and metals prices tripled, while agricultural prices increased by nearly 150 percent. Other countries have taken advantage of conflict resolution to revive their economies, while a third type of country has benefited from the integration of regional trade such as Moldova or Nicaragua, Kenya, Rwanda and Tanzania.
According to World Bank estimates, however, a rapid decline in the number of poor countries globally is unlikely to continue. And for good reason: more than half of the 34 countries still suffer from conflict, violence, or instability in poor classified countries. Almost all of them are heavily dependent on agriculture, which exacerbates the negative effects of climate change and its consequences on their economies. It also includes a constantly rising debt level, a sluggish global economy and weak local governments.
6 - Fighting Poverty in Africa: Gates Couples Trust Youth
The Philanthropic Couples Foundation published its annual report, which posits that youth may be a way to move forward despite the demographic explosion. Bill and Melinda Gates are the largest private charity heads in the world. And they have not lost hope of ending poverty.
When others worry about the demographic pressure in Sub-Saharan Africa, which casts serious doubt on the new economic aging potential of this century, the philanthropic couple believes that "current trends are irreversible." In his foundation's annual report, the second, published on Tuesday 18 September, he says he is convinced that "investing in youth can change the course of poor countries."
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He finds: "The tremendous progress that has been made for decades in the fight against poverty and disease is stagnant. The reason is that the poorest areas have the most population growth - Africa's population to double within 30 years have hope." Rate, the number of poor people in the world will stop declining and may start increasing. "However, he believes that" the explosions the young population is witnessing can benefit the economy. "" If the youth are healthy, educated and productive, most of them will work and innovate to accelerate growth and innovate, "he said.
7 - Ethiopia and Rwanda, students of good agricultural policy reduce rural poverty by 50% and 25%
In Africa, only Ethiopia and Rwanda have developed a joint policy with government investment in agriculture and poverty reduction among rural people. A new report for the Green Revolution Coalition (AGRA) in Africa confirms the region's position on the continent.
According to the authors of this document, African countries have not been able to use agriculture for development due to the lack of an integrated vision and effective strategy to make this vision a reality. Both of these fine students knew how to combine policy to improve crop performance, stabilize the area in global warming, and restore poor soils.
In 25 years of efforts, Ethiopia has succeeded in reducing rural population poverty by 50%, while Rwanda has reduced it by 25%. There is also an increase in small farmers' farms in Sub-Saharan Africa, where 85% of farmers are leaving at least 30% of their production and moving on from farming.
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